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One of the best indicators of a country’s economic
performance is the level of recruitment agency activity. Whether it’s
strong organic growth or hot levels of M&A activity, you can be sure
that recruitment agency profit levels make new markets attractive for
aggressive agency owners with deep pockets or strong credit ratings.

 

I am a big fan of New Zealand’s preeminent
recruitment agency blogger, Jonathan Rice (owner of rec-to-rec firm,
Rice Consulting) for his incisive and witty weekly blog

The Whiteboard
on all things to do with the NZ recruitment scene.

 

A couple of

Jonathan’s recent

posts

have
highlighted the

growth
in the numbers of recruitment agencies in the local market,
especially the influx of overseas operators hanging out their shingle or
buying locally-owned agencies.

 

All this activity indicates that the times are good
in the NZ economy and the recent Statistics New Zealand   Labour
Market Statistics:

December 2015 quarte
r appears to strongly support the positive
economic position.

 

Category  

Dec 2015  

Change from Dec 2014  

Employed

3,656,000

+2.3%

Unemployed

133,000

-6.7%

Unemployment rate

5.3%

-0.7 percentage points

Filled jobs

1,848,000

+2.7%

Participation rate

68.4%

-1.0 percentage points

Total weekly paid hours

57.1 million

+3.8%

Wage inflation (since Dec 2014)

                                                              +1.5%

 

Selected Statistics New Zealand commentary  

 

Highlight 1: The good news for unemployment is widespread   

  • 5.3% is the lowest unemployment rate since March 2009   (when
    it was 5.2%).  This fall reflected  16,000  fewer people being
    unemployed over the quarter.

  • Over the 2015 year, the number of unemployed men was unchanged  ,  while
    the number of unemployed women  was down  10,000  .

  • In the year to December 2015, the unemployment rate for the North
    Island   fell 0.6 percentage points, to 5.6%, while that  for the
    South Island    was unchanged, at 4.1%.

  • The unemployment rate for   Māori    fell 1.6 percentage
    points to 10.6%in the year ended December 2015 The unemployment rate
    for Pacific peoples   dropped over the 2015 year to 9.7% (from
    11.4% a year earlier)

 

Highlight 2: Auckland construction industry recruiters are probably
driving flash new cars   

  • Annual employment growth in Auckland increased  2.9% in the December
    2015 quarter, after dropping to 1.5% last quarter. This came from
    23,100 more people being employed in Auckland over the year

  • The construction industry was the largest contributor to annual
    employment growth, with 27,500 more people employed over the year to
    December 2015.

  • The majority of construction employment growth was in Auckland, with
    18,900 more people employed over  2015. 

  • Technicians and trade workers also had a large employment growth,
    with 20,800 more people employed in this occupation group over the
    year.

 

Highlight 3: Wages growth continues to beat inflation growth   

  • In the year to December 2015, prices of goods and services bought by
    households, as measured by the consumers’ price index (CPI)
    increased 0.1% – the lowest annual increase since 1999.

  • The Labour Cost Index salary and wage rates (including overtime)
    increased 1.5% over the same period. The bad news for employees is
    that this is the lowest annual increase since the March 2010
    quarter.

  • Wage inflation has now been higher or equal to the CPI for more than
    four years.

 

Lowlight 1: Labour force participation rates continue to drop   

  • The labour force participation rate continued to decline from a
    record high in the March 2015 quarter  . This is the third quarter
    in a row in which labour force participation has fallen.

  • This continuing decrease in labour force participation was partly
    due to more retirees (up 31,500), and more people at home but not
    looking after children (up 15,400).

 

One of the key statistics driving recruitment agency growth is the
‘Filled jobs’ category. A 2.7% annual rise over the most recent 12 month
survey period (January 2015 – December 2015) comes on top of a 2.5% rise
in the 12 month period, January 2014 – December 2014 and a 1.9% rise in
the 12 month period, January 2013 – December 2013.

 

If this New Zealand ‘Filled jobs’ growth continues its current momentum,
you can sure that there will be plenty more upcoming Kiwi recruitment
agency growth and acquisition activity worth writing about on The
Whiteboard … and an increasing number of Kiwi recruiters driving flash
new cars.

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George Smith

OK, some interesting pointers – but some clarification required;

Flash Cars – Funnily enough leasing cars in NZ quite a bit different in regards to tax than OZ – there is no real advantage – one recruiter has well over 600 contractors out and drives a mid 2000's Japanese SUV – but does have a real estate portfolio that would make you cry – must have something to do with no stamp duty and no capital gains tax !!!

Auckland is on the cusp of some staggering growth – Christchurch build is starting to slow , and alot of construction staff will be re deployed to Auckland – with positive migration now in full force and the majority moving to the Auckland area , any construction recruiter based in Akl will be licking their lips in anticipation

The bar is very very low when it comes to opening a company in NZ – $50 and about 10 minutes online to register will get you going

Acquisition – here is an interesting situation – the majority of NZ recruiters ended up working out they could earn more for doing less and opened on their own and the majority have the "3B disease" ( Boat , BMW, Bach-holiday house ) – so when they get told they will get a little cash, and then have an onerous 3 yr buy out where they have to report to someone again and then be under a 3 to 5 year restraint – doesn't take Einstein to work out if you keep doing what you are doing , at the end of an 8 year period you probably have the same amount of $$$ and not have to report to an Australian based boss ( don't underestimate how much of a killer that is! )

I suspect more will diversify into construction, there will not be many acquisitions and we will keep taking pot shots at Australia and how badly the economy is doing and how many large companies keep closing

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